I recently read Moneyball (I’m a little behind, I know) and in the book Billy Beane talks about how playoff baseball is essentially a crapshoot. He says his job is to get his team to the playoffs but “what happens after that is f***ing luck.”
A look at the last decade of postseason baseball does not disprove that. While we don’t know who will play in this year’s World Series, we do know it won’t be the New York Yankees or Philadelphia Phillies, the teams with the best records during the regular season. That is not uncommon.
Take a look at the teams with the best record in their league and the teams that ultimately advanced to the World Series:
American | National | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Record | Champion | Record | Champion |
2010 | Rays | Rangers | Phillies | Giants |
2009 | Yankees | Yankees | Dodgers | Phillies |
2008 | Angels | Rays | Cubs | Phillies |
2007 | Indians | Red Sox | Diamondbacks | Rockies |
2006 | Yankees | Tigers | Mets | Cardinals |
2005 | White Sox | White Sox | Cardinals | Astros |
2004 | Yankees | Red Sox | Cardinals | Cardinals |
2003 | Yankees | Yankees | Braves | Marlins |
2002 | Yankees/A’s | Angels | Braves | Giants |
2001 | Mariners | Yankees | Astros/Cards | Diamondbacks |
2000 | White Sox | Yankees | Giants | Mets |
1999 | Yankees | Yankees | Braves | Braves |
To make it easier to see, I bolded the teams that had the best regular reason record in their league and also won the pennant. As you can see, this has happened only four times since 2000. You have to go back to last millennium to find the last World Series match-up of the top teams record-wise.
Does this add to the excitement of playoff baseball? Does it affect your opinion on the possible addition of another wild card team? Sound off in the comments section.
Side note: As a Mets fan, the last few weeks have been about as sweet as possible considering the Mets have been out of contention for months and are facing the prospect of heading into next season without Jose Reyes. The Red Sox and Braves fell apart in September, meaning the Mets’ 2007 collapse is, undisputedly, no longer the worst. Then, as a bonus, the Yankees and Phillies were eliminated in the first round. When you’re a Mets fan, you need to take pleasure in the small things, even when they don’t directly involve your team.
I have two changes for the MLB playoff system. First, the divisional round should be seven games. Second, the games should be scheduled like they are in the regular season such that teams are forced to use their five man pitching rotations. Possible implementation: three home games for the top seed, then three home games for the lower seed, and then if necessary the top seed gets game seven at home. And, no days off during the three game home stands.